Bounded and rational -- Fast and frugal heuristics -- Rules of thumb in animals and humans -- I think, therefore I err -- Striking a blow for sanity in theories of rationality -- Out of the frying pan into the fire -- What's in a sample? a manual for building cognitive theories -- A 30 percent chance of rain tomorrow -- Understanding risks in health care -- The evolution of statistical thinking -- Mindless statistics -- Children can solve Bayesian problems -- In the year 2054 : innumeracy defeated